ESTA Volatility Surface

SVI-calibrated implied volatility surface for ESTA. Interactive heatmap of IV across strikes and expirations. Data from the public FlashAlpha Lab API.

Delayed
ATM IV
60.0%
Spot Price
$70.52

ESTA implied volatility by strike and horizon

As of Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET

Strike as a percent of spot, interpolated between 5 listed expiries. A dash means no quoted option covers that point.

Horizon 80% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 120%
7 days - - - - - - -
30 days 124.6% 149.9% 166.0% 99.9% 90.5% 98.2% -
60 days 107.6% 122.6% 131.4% 46.1% 29.9% 39.2% 43.9%
90 days 102.5% 115.0% 122.1% 51.0% 30.0% 37.7% 42.2%
180 days 87.3% 92.2% 94.2% 65.5% 30.4% 33.4% 37.0%
1 year 74.7% 77.5% 78.2% 59.4% 30.7% 32.5% 33.1%

Across these 34 points, ESTA implied volatility runs from 29.9% (60 days, 105% strike) to 166.0% (30 days, 95% strike), built from 5 listed expiries.

IV Heatmap

What is a Volatility Surface?

A volatility surface maps implied volatility as a function of both strike price and time to expiration. It captures the full landscape of how the market prices risk across different scenarios and time horizons.

SVI Calibration: FlashAlpha uses Stochastic Volatility Inspired (SVI) parameterization to fit a smooth, arbitrage-free surface to raw market quotes. This eliminates noise while preserving the true shape of the smile.

Reading the Heatmap

  • Cool colors (blue): Low IV - options are relatively cheap. Potential for long vol positions.
  • Warm colors (red/orange): High IV - options are expensive. Consider selling premium or look for relative value.
  • Spot row: Highlighted row shows IV at the current stock price. Compare across expirations to see term structure.
  • Wings: IV rising sharply at far OTM strikes indicates tail risk pricing or squeeze potential.