Net Harvest Score

Risk-adjusted premium-harvesting score: reward meets risk.

Definition

The harvest score penalised by dealer flow risk. A single 0-100 number that measures risk-adjusted premium-selling attractiveness.

Formula
net_harvest_score = harvest_score × (1 − dealer_flow_risk / 100)

Both inputs are 0-100 composites. The output retains the same 0-100 interpretation.

Inputs
harvest_scoredealer_flow_risk
Output
net_harvest_score (0-100)
Interpretation
  • ≥ 60: high-conviction short-premium setup. Both reward and risk are aligned.
  • 30–60: reduce size. Either harvest is weak or flow risk is elevated.
  • < 30: do not sell premium. Reward is low or dealer flow will hurt you.

API Reference

Endpoint
GET /v1/volatility/{symbol}
Tier
Alpha
Response field
net_harvest_score

Why Net Harvest Score Matters for Trading

TL;DR

Net harvest score is the risk-adjusted version of harvest score. A fat premium with hostile dealer flow cancels out — net harvest tells you what's actually tradeable.

What it measures
Harvest score multiplied by (1 − dealer flow risk / 100). A 0-100 number that requires both a fat premium and supportive flow.
What it signals
Whether premium selling has both structural reward and structural safety right now.
Why we measure it
Raw harvest score can lure traders into trades where dealer flow will run over them. Net harvest closes that gap.
Who uses it
Systematic vol sellers, short-premium strategies, risk-managed retail. Alpha tier.

How to read Net Harvest Score

≥ 60
  • Both reward and safety aligned
  • Full-size premium selling
  • Iron condors, short strangles, covered calls
  • Best of all regime checks
Good for: full-size premium sells
< 30
  • Low reward or hostile flow
  • Reduce to zero
  • Consider long-vol positioning
  • Typical pre-regime-shift warning
Bad for: short premium
30–60
  • Marginal edge
  • Half or quarter size
  • Only highest-conviction tickers
  • Typical mid-cycle reading
Reduce size

Rules of thumb

  • Prefer net harvest over raw harvest. The raw score misses flow-risk drag. Net harvest is the honest score.
  • Both inputs matter. A 90 harvest + 90 flow risk = 9 net. Still too low.
  • Pair with VRP regime. Regime label picks strategy; net harvest picks size.
  • Flow-risk spikes into OPEX. Net harvest compresses Thu/Fri of expiry week as flow risk rises.
  • Alpha tier. Both inputs are Alpha-gated; so is the composite.
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