Net Harvest Score
Risk-adjusted premium-harvesting score: reward meets risk.
The harvest score penalised by dealer flow risk. A single 0-100 number that measures risk-adjusted premium-selling attractiveness.
Both inputs are 0-100 composites. The output retains the same 0-100 interpretation.
- ≥ 60: high-conviction short-premium setup. Both reward and risk are aligned.
- 30–60: reduce size. Either harvest is weak or flow risk is elevated.
- < 30: do not sell premium. Reward is low or dealer flow will hurt you.
API Reference
Why Net Harvest Score Matters for Trading
Net harvest score is the risk-adjusted version of harvest score. A fat premium with hostile dealer flow cancels out — net harvest tells you what's actually tradeable.
- What it measures
- Harvest score multiplied by (1 − dealer flow risk / 100). A 0-100 number that requires both a fat premium and supportive flow.
- What it signals
- Whether premium selling has both structural reward and structural safety right now.
- Why we measure it
- Raw harvest score can lure traders into trades where dealer flow will run over them. Net harvest closes that gap.
- Who uses it
- Systematic vol sellers, short-premium strategies, risk-managed retail. Alpha tier.
How to read Net Harvest Score
- Both reward and safety aligned
- Full-size premium selling
- Iron condors, short strangles, covered calls
- Best of all regime checks
- Low reward or hostile flow
- Reduce to zero
- Consider long-vol positioning
- Typical pre-regime-shift warning
- Marginal edge
- Half or quarter size
- Only highest-conviction tickers
- Typical mid-cycle reading
Rules of thumb
- Prefer net harvest over raw harvest. The raw score misses flow-risk drag. Net harvest is the honest score.
- Both inputs matter. A 90 harvest + 90 flow risk = 9 net. Still too low.
- Pair with VRP regime. Regime label picks strategy; net harvest picks size.
- Flow-risk spikes into OPEX. Net harvest compresses Thu/Fri of expiry week as flow risk rises.
- Alpha tier. Both inputs are Alpha-gated; so is the composite.
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