MELI Implied Volatility

ATM implied volatility, IV percentile, and the volatility risk premium for MELI options. See whether MELI's IV is rich or cheap versus its own trailing year and versus realized moves.

ATM IV
71.5%
Realized Vol 20d
20.2%

Volatility Smile

How MELI's IV is distributed across strikes for the nearest expiration. Data from the public vol surface endpoint.

IV Term Structure

How MELI's IV is distributed across expirations. Contango (rising) is normal; backwardation (inverted) signals a near-term event.

What implied volatility tells you

Implied volatility (IV) is the market's forecast of how much MELI is expected to move, expressed as an annualized percentage and backed out of the price traders are actually paying for MELI options.

Higher IV means options are pricing in bigger expected swings and cost more; lower IV means the market expects calmer conditions and options are cheaper.

High or low for MELI?

IV percentile is the share of the past year's daily IV readings that sit below today's IV. A percentile above 80 means MELI's current IV is richer than at least 80% of the last year, i.e. statistically high. Below 20 means it's statistically cheap.

This is different from IV rank, which places today's IV between the past year's high and low instead of counting where it falls in the full distribution; a single outlier spike can distort rank without moving percentile.

IV vs realized: the premium

The volatility risk premium (VRP) is implied volatility minus realized volatility. A positive VRP means MELI options have been priced above the moves that actually happened, the edge options sellers try to harvest. See VRP for the full breakdown.

Frequently Asked Questions - MELI Implied Volatility

What is MELI's implied volatility right now?

MELI's current ATM implied volatility is 71.5%, shown live above. Full IV history, percentile, and term structure are available programmatically via GET /v1/volatility/meli, a Growth-tier endpoint.

What is a high IV for MELI?

IV percentile is the share of the past year's daily IV readings that sit below today's IV. A percentile above 80 means IV is richer than at least 80% of the last year, i.e. statistically high; below 20 means it's statistically cheap. This is different from IV rank, which places today's IV between the past year's high and low instead of counting where it falls in the full distribution.