Charm Regime
The categorical direction of 0DTE / OPEX charm hedging flow.
A categorical label describing the direction of time-decay-driven dealer hedging flow on a given session, derived from net chain charm and expected close-time flow.
Positive chain charm + near-expiry concentration = dealers_buy into close. Negative chain charm = dealers_sell.
- time_decay_dealers_buy: dealers buy into EOD as delta drifts up. Late-session support.
- time_decay_dealers_sell: dealers sell into EOD. Late-session pressure.
- neutral: minimal charm flow. No intraday directional edge from time decay.
API Reference
Why Charm Regime Matters for Trading
Charm regime labels whether dealers will buy or sell into the close from pure time decay. Peaks in influence on OPEX Thu/Fri afternoons.
- What it measures
- A string label ('time_decay_dealers_buy' or 'time_decay_dealers_sell') summarising the direction of dealer charm hedging for the current session.
- What it signals
- Whether the last-hour tape will lean bullish or bearish purely from dealer hedging of charm.
- Why we measure it
- CHEX is a number. Charm regime is the one-word version that retail and systematic screeners can filter on.
- Who uses it
- 0DTE traders, OPEX specialists, intraday directional traders, closing-auction participants.
How to read Charm Regime
- Dealers buy into the close
- Supports late-session rallies
- Peaks Thu/Fri of OPEX week
- Reinforces pin setups
- Dealers sell into the close
- Pressure on last-hour rallies
- Often from call-OI unwinds
- Fade-rally setups late day
- Minimal charm flow
- Time decay not directional
- Trade on other factors
- Typical midweek reading
Rules of thumb
- Most active Thu/Fri of OPEX. Charm flow peaks as expiry approaches. Midweek regimes are usually noise.
- Effect concentrates in last 60 minutes. Label is useful for closing-auction setups, not the midday tape.
- Pair with CHEX. Regime tells direction; CHEX tells size.
- Weekend charm still matters. Monday opens reflect Friday-evening charm repositioning from 3 days of decay.
- 0DTE amplifies the regime. Same-day expiry makes charm dominate over vanna and vega into the close.
Related Concepts
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